Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #14
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #7
Noblesville Regional Rank #6
Noblesville Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 17.3%
Advance to State Finals 52.3%
Advance to Semi-State 53.9%
Advance to Regional 55.1%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Joe Harvey Circle City Conference Hamilton County Championships THSB State Preview Indiana All-Catholic Championship Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational North Central JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/4 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 276 286 305 228 276 266 1,007 292 280 302 310
Team Adjusted Rating 286 305 228 228 266 276 292 270 276 310
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Joe Harvey Circle City Conference Hamilton County Championships THSB State Preview Indiana All-Catholic Championship Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational North Central JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
26  Megan Slamkowski 12 18:56 19:14 19:28 19:02 18:44 18:49 18:48 19:09 18:51 18:51
57  Paige Schemanske 10 19:21 19:17 19:36 19:18 19:07 19:04 19:14 19:30 19:14 19:50
72  Ellie Schroeder 10 19:31 19:34 19:43 19:23 19:25 19:13 19:29 19:19 19:40 20:01
277  Isabelle Museck 10 20:35 20:52 20:11 19:53 19:54 20:23 20:59 23:40
324  Lucia Perez 11 20:42 21:02 20:54 20:27 21:06 20:44 20:32 20:44 20:34
364  Bella Bucklew 12 20:52 20:28 21:43 20:46 21:01 20:43
808  Amanda Schafer 11 22:15 22:49 22:50 21:31 22:02 22:23
815  Kate Anderson 12 22:15 22:04 22:07 22:50 22:34 22:08 22:17 22:11 22:10 22:23
923  Maren Fitschen 11 22:29 22:06 22:12 22:02 24:34
939  Madeline Youngman 12 22:31 22:24 22:21 23:02 22:20
946  Audrey Darland 9 22:31 22:17 22:50 22:07 22:39 22:38
1,032  Maggie McGuire 9 22:41 23:20 22:06 22:34 22:58 22:56 22:33
1,082  Marian Grskovich 9 22:47 23:46 24:10 22:42 23:23 22:16 21:59
1,188  Nicole Powers 9 23:01 22:53 22:53 23:14
Kaleigh Falimirski 10 23:42 22:53 24:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 52.3% 11.9 339 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.3 3.2 4.7 5.4 6.4 6.7 6.2 5.0 3.8 2.6 2.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 53.9% 5.6 171 0.1 1.3 4.3 12.0 34.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 55.1% 4.7 114 0.5 3.1 11.3 39.0 1.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 5.2 113 0.9 3.9 12.4 37.9 44.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Slamkowski 99.1% 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.6 98.1% 99.0%
Paige Schemanske 79.7% 56.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 57.5% 72.0%
Ellie Schroeder 66.5% 68.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 29.8% 48.6%
Isabelle Museck 52.3% 156.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lucia Perez 52.3% 164.0 0.0% 0.0%
Bella Bucklew 52.3% 173.4 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Schafer 52.3% 203.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Slamkowski 100% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.5 3.6 4.7 5.6 6.4 7.8 8.3 8.6 8.7 7.9 7.0 5.8 4.4 4.0 3.0 2.1 1.7 1.0 0.9 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Paige Schemanske 100.0% 22.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.9 4.3 4.9 5.8 5.8 6.0 6.1 5.8 5.5 5.1 4.7 100.0% 100.0%
Ellie Schroeder 99.8% 27.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.7 1.8 2.7 3.1 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.9 4.8 4.7 99.5% 99.7%
Isabelle Museck 56.0% 74.7 4.6% 8.3%
Lucia Perez 54.7% 81.0 1.9% 3.5%
Bella Bucklew 54.0% 89.1 0.3% 0.7%
Amanda Schafer 53.9% 143.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Slamkowski 100% 8.8 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.9 3.3 7.5 10.2 12.6 16.1 17.4 14.7 7.5 3.3 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Paige Schemanske 100% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 2.8 5.3 10.1 16.2 14.6 11.5 8.2 6.2 4.5 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Ellie Schroeder 100% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 3.2 7.4 10.7 11.6 9.5 8.4 7.2 5.9 5.5 4.6 4.3 3.3 2.7 2.4 1.9 100.0% 100.0%
Isabelle Museck 100% 46.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Lucia Perez 100% 49.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Bella Bucklew 100% 52.8 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Amanda Schafer 98.2% 81.5 95.9% 94.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Slamkowski 8.8 0.1 0.6 1.0 2.0 3.5 7.7 10.1 12.3 16.1 17.5 15.3 7.7 3.0 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Paige Schemanske 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.6 5.5 10.5 16.4 16.2 11.4 8.9 6.1 4.9 3.9 2.7 2.0 1.9 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.6
Ellie Schroeder 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 3.3 7.2 11.4 12.0 10.1 9.0 8.3 6.7 5.4 4.9 4.1 3.4 2.5 2.1 1.9
Isabelle Museck 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3
Lucia Perez 37.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Bella Bucklew 38.9 0.0 0.0
Amanda Schafer 43.5